Coffee Shop Analysis of Technical Analysis
An analysis of Technical Analysis by a road side technical stock trader.
Markets are nobody’s servant they do whatever they would like to do
Q.) How do we know which bottom and which high will sustain??
A.) We don’t know the chart is telling you.
Traders never go for reasons, just follow the market action, and try to see what it’s telling you. Can you see the bars at high levels? When bars are not able to stay above high for almost an hour tried to hold it. It means market did not sustain there.
Does it mean anything that market open at upward gap and then print a low lower then previous day’s low? It means selling. Not weakness .It’s profit booking
As a trader our first objective is to protect our capital. It is our weapon, gun powder, trading is a battle and if you’re alive then only you can fight.
First identify a trend and then plan your trade, in a strong bull market you always buy dips.
How do we know which is a bottom??
One has to take the plunge to test the water.
You all know that support becomes resistance and vice – verse. And whenever there is a breakout from a particular resistance level it becomes support and often the prices come to test these levels.
It’s trading using of the technical analysis of info about support. Now apply very basic thing. Even we had a gap down opening what levels would be tested or where index /stock will find support? So we planned our trade at previous resistance that the moment market gaps down, we will buy index / stock.We were prepared. The moment market opened gap down we went long and we covered our longs at resistance. This is also known as opening reversal. Where would we have exited if it slides further? We would have waited for the breakdown of support and could have gone short.
Traders don’t have ego.
Trend is Friend. Just follow trends.If we are wrong we have to reverse or keep quite by getting out of trade.
Traders never go for reasons, instead of why it’s what.
You should never try to see what market will do, just see what its doing.
Now in nifty 5 min divergence buy and sell set up .As you all know, stochastic can be used
to define market momentum. It’s for intraday traders who trade the five-minute time frame, but it can be used to time entries by longer time frames as well.Price follows momentum in general, but whenever the two diverge, you get buy and sell signals.In ABC move and wave first you get a move A in one direction then a reaction, correction or consolidation in other direction and then again the move in the original direction of A called C.Now oscillator has come down: i.e. your indicators are down but prices are up it means strength. And it’s a divergence. You have a finished B wave. By now you will have move C in the direction of A so it was an intraday buy set up.This 5 min chart is used for making intraday trade and for making entry and exits. We don’t use this for determine the trend.

B-) whts up bro ??? nice article !! cool!! finaly it is published !! i m not techie but i liked it !!
welcome to the world of emerging writers !!
!! lets wait for some other friends now
Great surti… good one.
Nikilesh
Gud article !!! Quite an interesting one !!!
hii,
nice article and very infomative… learnt alot i must say..
keep up the good work… hope for more such articles…
cheers
awesome bro …. but tell me dude can we become rich by trading or is it just a zero sum game …
i ve heard its only investing which makes u wealthier over a period of time …
n wy doesnt averaging works … if some one wud have done averaging of icici bank from 900 to 300 … he wud have made a lot of money … i knw u dont average on leverage but if its ur own capital n ur pretty sure of fundas of cmpny … like sintex n voltas’s of the world …
Thanks anurag, i am not against averaging . what i mean to say is add when u r confirm then down trend has reversed and now again stock in a uptrend .
like your example just thing if some one had 100 shares at 900 then he averadged it at 600 for another 100 shares then again it comes 300 and he don’t have capital to invest again (you can read average again). but if he waited till 300 and reversal and if he averaged at 450 -500 tehn that is the better way. hope u can unterstand what i mean
My goodness,
I don’t remember having read such article last time. sualy articles about Stock markets are boring and too tiresome. But this one actually took me by surprise. it is enlightening, funy, smart, interesting and is jelled up with an amazing classic case or practical examples of life. I am sure we can expect a lot more to come from sujan.
All da best bro!!! Keep it up.
Cheers!!
Dear Sujan,
You have penned down one of the best content, i have ever come across on Technical Analysis. As usual taking a print out to have an in depth reading late night today. Can’t help it. I have to finish it right now on top priority. Thanks for the jewel !!!
Hi guys,
I have actually gone through many articles in life about stock markets. But have i found anything more interesting that this one, the answer is simply NO…
This article is full of live & practical examples of life. There is co-relation from almost everything, right from mahabharat to Sachin tendulkar. So easy to understand, so practical to follow and amazingly funny. once i started reading this, i am gonna stop only after posting the comment.
I am actually taken by surprise by his amazing sense of humour.
Hope there is more to come from him…
All da best bro!!!
Cheers.
Sujan – great, great. Its the mother of all articles on technical analysis ever published in this world ( I donot know who the father is). I am sure You will write an useful book on Technical Analysis one day.
surat.. ha ha ..gr8..have read so many books to find the holy grail…n now u tell me thr is no such thing….ha ha … excellent article..simple common sense n find ur style n develope ur trading system works…gr8 article (which i know is ur expereiance put into words)…tks n tc man …
Awesome Surat “But in trading people do just opposite. If they have 2 positions and one is working and other is not they cut the winner and stay with looser Thinking that it will perform some day. When you have kicked out good one what other will do to you? It will ruin you”
Mantra fr trading , gr8 work
nice one surat it will helpfull ll
nice one surat jiii..my best lines are You are the master of your destiny’ and You don’t pack your suitcase after you have boarded the train.
Once on board think of when to jump out.
Thnk you Friends for all your comments
Surat…Brilliant Article….I have read many trading/investing articles on internet, yours certainly stands out remarkably as it explains things in indian contexts. The setups you have discussed are really good and relevant to our markets…. do write more articles…specially for intraday and short term traders.
looking forward to read many more of your writings. Happy Diwali
Hi Sujan,
Very interesting. Actually i don’t find time to search too many sites to learn about stock market & not interested also. If tips comes i trade accordingly. But past 1 year after joined as a premium client with TSR, I learnt a lot . I called myself it is a discipline trading and after Mits articles it made me learn more about stock market & u r the next. Expecting more from u people. Long Live & Gud Luck
Dear All,
I know him as Mr. Surat (one of the most friendly Mods) from TSR.
This is a very descriptive and informative article. Must say, the way it is presented in question – answer form with the help of charts and examples, this article makes itself a MUST READ for all wanna-be Techies!!
Thank You so much Sujan…may more such articles follow!!
Best Wishes,
Nat
hi,
nice article definitely a good help to all the ppl
Great Artical !! you should be in TOI alongside Mr. Ankleshwariya Iyer!!!!
Keep it up !!!
surely informative. i also become fan.
but i have no such good realtime softawre.when at very early stage of my entry in intraday jargon my guru taught me some simple intraday formula.
i just describe one , if in a perticular day if open and high of a scrip is almost same for atleast half an hour.and at any moment the scrip start trading minus 2% of previous day close one can sell it with atleast minus 3% tgt.